The mathematician of the Faculty of Engineering Marcelo Fiori asserted that the figures which have dragged on for well over a week with more than an average of 2,500 cases per day, indicate that “it is very likely that in the coming days, the number of ITC admissions and deaths are not dropping sharply and we continue to see these disturbing numbers. In an interview with Subrayado this Saturday, Fiori said that “projection is still difficult and over in this disease” but warned that statistics work well when numbers matter, as they are now. what the statistics say is that more or less 10 days later, or so, the serious pictures, CTI admissions and deaths are given by the new cases that were 10 days before, “he said. The mathematician also said that although the vaccination rate is “very, very good,” the effect occurs up to 45 days later. In that sense, he said the first thing they hope to see, is that it will have an impact on a decrease in revenues of CTI and on serious images. “Another effect is the reduction of infections in general, but for that it takes a lot more, and we also have to help them with the dynamics general epidemic. ”Fiori warned that vaccination alone short term “is not a viable strategy”. Giving an example of what happened in Israel, which has already vaccinated 50% or 60% of the population with the two doses, he explained that the country had very high levels of infections, for which “they had to put in place measures to restrict mobility. to help with the vaccination. It was not until March, three months after starting to vaccinate, that they began to see effects, and the rate infections decreased despite the fact that mobility increased, “said Fiori. For this reason, he clarified that>, and estimated that these levels of death and severe symptoms cannot be normalized, alluding to the nearly 1,300 deaths recorded in April. . “More intensive care beds are released due to death than leave,” he lamented.
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